Publications 

Published/Accepted

W. D. Rush, J. M. Lora, C. B. Skinner, S. A. Menemenlis, C. A. Shields, P. Ullrich, T. A. O’Brien, S. Brands, B. Guan, K. S. Mattingly, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Nellikkattil, A. M. Ramos, K. J. Reid, E. Shearer, R. Tomé, J. D. Wille, L. R. Leung, F. M. Ralph, J. J. Rutz, M. Wehner, Z. Zhang, M. Lu, K. T. Quagraine, 2025: Atmospheric River Detection Under Changing Seasonality and Mean-State Climate: ARTMIP Tier 2 Paleoclimate Experiments, J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2024JD042222. 

Shields, C. A., H. Li, F. S. Castruccio, D. Fu, K. Nardi, X. Liu, C. Zarzycki, 2024: The upper ocean's response to northeast Pacific atmospheric rivers under climate change, Nature Comms Earth and Environment, doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01774-0.

Nardi, K., C. Zarzycki, V. Larson, 2024: Assessing the role of parameterized momentum flux on the global climate using short-term hindcasts in the Community Earth System Model, J. Adv. Modeling Earth Sys., doi: 10.1029/2024MS004482. 

Shields, C. A., A. E. Payne,  E. J. Shearer, M. F. Wehner, T. A. O'Brien, J. J. Rutz, L. R. Leung, F. M. Ralph, A. B. Marquardt Collow, P. A. Ullrich, Q. Dong, A. Gershunov, H. Griffith, B. Guan, J. M. Lora, M. Lu, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, M. Pan, Y. Qian, A. M. Ramos, T. Shulgina, M. Viale, C. Sarangi, R. Tomé, C. Zarzycki, 2023: Future Atmospheric Rivers and Impacts on Precipitation: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier2 High-Resolution Global Warming Experiment, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2022GL102091.

Collow, A., C. Shields, B. Guan, S. Kim, J. Lora, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Payne, K. Reid, E. Shearer, R. Tomé, J. Wille, A. Ramos, I. Gorodetskaya, L. R. Leung, T. A. O’Brien, F. M. Ralph, J. Rutz, P. Ullrich, and M. Wehner, 2022: An Overview of ARTMIP’s Tier 2 Reanalysis Intercomparison: Uncertainty in the Detection of Atmospheric Rivers and their Associated Precipitation, J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2021JD036155.

Nardi, K., C. Zarzycki, V. Larson, and G. Bryan, 2022: Assessing the sensitivity in depicting the tropical cyclone boundary layer to changes in the parameterization of momentum flux in the Community Earth System Model, Mon. Wea. Rev., doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0186.1.

O’Brien, T., M. Wehner, A. Payne, C. Shields, J. Rutz, L. R. Leung, F. M. Ralph,  A. Collow, I. Gorodetskaya, B. Guan, J. Lora, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Ramos, R. Tome, C. Sarangi, E. Shearer, P. Ullrich, C. Zarzycki, B. Loring, H. Huang, H. Inda-Diaz, A. Rhoades, Y. Zhou, 2021: Increases in Future AR Count and Size: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 CMIP5/6 Experiment. J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1002/essoar.10504170.3.

Nardi, K., C. Baggett, E. Barnes, E. Maloney, D. Harnos, and L. Ciasto, 2020: Skillful all-season S2S prediction of U.S. precipitation using the MJO and QBO, Wea. Forecasting, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0232.1.

Jenney, A., K. Nardi, E. Barnes, and D. Randall, 2019: The Seasonality and Regionality of MJO Impacts on North American Temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2019GL083950.

Gonzales, K., D. Swain, K. Nardi, E. Barnes, and N. Diffenbaugh, 2019: Recent warming of landfalling atmospheric rivers along the west coast of the United States. J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2018JD029860.

Ralph, F. M., A. Wilson, T. Shulgina, B. Kawzenuk, S. Sellars, J. Rutz, M. Asgari-Lamjiri, E. Barnes, A. Gershunov, B. Guan, K. Nardi, T. Osborne, and G. Wick, 2019: ARTMIP-early start comparison of atmospheric river detection tools: how many atmospheric rivers hit northern California's Russian River watershed?. Clim. Dyn., 22, doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4427-5. 

Nardi, K., E. Barnes, and F. M. Ralph, 2018: Assessment of numerical weather prediction model reforecasts of the occurrence, intensity, and location of atmospheric rivers along the West Coast of North America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3343–3362, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0060.

Baggett, C., K. Nardi, S. Childs, S. Zito, E. Barnes, and E. Maloney, 2018: Skillful subseasonal forecasts of weekly tornado and hail activity using the Madden-Julian oscillation. J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2018JD029059.

Mundhenk, B., E. Barnes, E. Maloney, and K. Nardi, 2016: Modulation of atmospheric rivers near Alaska and the U.S. West Coast by Northeast Pacific height anomalies. J. Geophys. Res., 121, 12751-12765, doi: 10.1002/2016JD025350.