Publications
In Prep/In Review
Shields, C. A., H. Li, F. S. Castruccio, D. Fu, K. Nardi, X. Liu, C. Zarzycki: The upper ocean's response to Northeast Pacific atmospheric rivers under climate change, Nature Comms Earth and Environment, in review.
Published/Accepted
Nardi, K., C. Zarzycki, V. Larson, 2024: Assessing the role of parameterized momentum flux on the global climate using short-term hindcasts in the Community Earth System Model, J. Adv. Modeling Earth Sys., doi: 10.1029/2024MS004482.
Shields, C. A., A. E. Payne, E. J. Shearer, M. F. Wehner, T. A. O'Brien, J. J. Rutz, L. R. Leung, F. M. Ralph, A. B. Marquardt Collow, P. A. Ullrich, Q. Dong, A. Gershunov, H. Griffith, B. Guan, J. M. Lora, M. Lu, E. McClenny, K. M. Nardi, M. Pan, Y. Qian, A. M. Ramos, T. Shulgina, M. Viale, C. Sarangi, R. Tomé, C. Zarzycki, 2023: Future Atmospheric Rivers and Impacts on Precipitation: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier2 High-Resolution Global Warming Experiment, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2022GL102091.
Collow, A., C. Shields, B. Guan, S. Kim, J. Lora, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Payne, K. Reid, E. Shearer, R. Tomé, J. Wille, A. Ramos, I. Gorodetskaya, L. R. Leung, T. A. O’Brien, F. M. Ralph, J. Rutz, P. Ullrich, and M. Wehner, 2022: An Overview of ARTMIP’s Tier 2 Reanalysis Intercomparison: Uncertainty in the Detection of Atmospheric Rivers and their Associated Precipitation, J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2021JD036155.
Nardi, K., C. Zarzycki, V. Larson, and G. Bryan, 2022: Assessing the sensitivity in depicting the tropical cyclone boundary layer to changes in the parameterization of momentum flux in the Community Earth System Model, Mon. Wea. Rev., doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0186.1.
O’Brien, T., M. Wehner, A. Payne, C. Shields, J. Rutz, L. R. Leung, F. M. Ralph, A. Collow, I. Gorodetskaya, B. Guan, J. Lora, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Ramos, R. Tome, C. Sarangi, E. Shearer, P. Ullrich, C. Zarzycki, B. Loring, H. Huang, H. Inda-Diaz, A. Rhoades, Y. Zhou, 2021: Increases in Future AR Count and Size: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 CMIP5/6 Experiment. J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1002/essoar.10504170.3.
Nardi, K., C. Baggett, E. Barnes, E. Maloney, D. Harnos, and L. Ciasto, 2020: Skillful all-season S2S prediction of U.S. precipitation using the MJO and QBO, Wea. Forecasting, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0232.1.
Jenney, A., K. Nardi, E. Barnes, and D. Randall, 2019: The Seasonality and Regionality of MJO Impacts on North American Temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2019GL083950.
Gonzales, K., D. Swain, K. Nardi, E. Barnes, and N. Diffenbaugh, 2019: Recent warming of landfalling atmospheric rivers along the west coast of the United States. J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2018JD029860.
Ralph, F. M., A. Wilson, T. Shulgina, B. Kawzenuk, S. Sellars, J. Rutz, M. Asgari-Lamjiri, E. Barnes, A. Gershunov, B. Guan, K. Nardi, T. Osborne, and G. Wick, 2019: ARTMIP-early start comparison of atmospheric river detection tools: how many atmospheric rivers hit northern California's Russian River watershed?. Clim. Dyn., 22, doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4427-5.
Nardi, K., E. Barnes, and F. M. Ralph, 2018: Assessment of numerical weather prediction model reforecasts of the occurrence, intensity, and location of atmospheric rivers along the West Coast of North America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3343–3362, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0060.
Baggett, C., K. Nardi, S. Childs, S. Zito, E. Barnes, and E. Maloney, 2018: Skillful subseasonal forecasts of weekly tornado and hail activity using the Madden-Julian oscillation. J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2018JD029059.
Mundhenk, B., E. Barnes, E. Maloney, and K. Nardi, 2016: Modulation of atmospheric rivers near Alaska and the U.S. West Coast by Northeast Pacific height anomalies. J. Geophys. Res., 121, 12751-12765, doi: 10.1002/2016JD025350.
Selected Presentations
"How Does CLUBB’s New Prognostic Momentum Flux Formulation Impact the Mean Climate in CAM?”, CESM Workshop, oral, 06/2024
"How will the weather impact Vermonters in the future?", Penn State Alumni Association Vermont Chapter Annual Dinner, oral, 05/2024
"Diagnostics to Assess the Impact of CLUBB Parameters on Global and Regional Metrics in CAM6", NCAR AMWG Winter Meeting, oral, 02/2024
"Leveraging short simulations to explore the impact of boundary layer parameter choice on biases in the Community Atmosphere Model", AGU Fall Meeting, poster, 12/2023
"The Sensitivity of the Global Mean Climate to Parameterized Momentum Flux in an Experimental Version of CAM6-CLUBB(X)", CESM Workshop, oral, 06/2023
"The Role of Parameterized Momentum Flux on Biases in Tropical Cyclones and the Mean State in the Community Atmosphere Model", EGU General Assembly, oral, 04/2023
"The Role of Parameterized Momentum Flux on Mean-State Biases in CAM6-CLUBB", NCAR AMWG Winter Meeting, oral, 02/2023
"Evaluating the Role of Parameterized Momentum Flux on the Global Climate in the Community Earth System Model", AGU Fall Meeting, poster, 12/2022
"Response of Tropical Cyclone Simulations to Parameterized Momentum Flux in the Community Earth System Model", AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, oral, 05/2022
"The sensitivity of global simulations to parameterized momentum flux in the Community Earth System Model", NCAR AMWG Winter Meeting, oral, 02/2022
"Dependence of Tropical Cyclone Structure on Parameterized Momentum Flux in Global Earth System Models", AMS Annual Meeting, oral, 01/2022
"The Predictability of Regional-Scale Weather Types and Their Links to Summertime Precipitation Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere", AMS Annual Meeting, poster, 01/2022
“Investigating the role of momentum flux on tropical cyclone wind profiles in climate models", AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, oral, 05/2021
"Quantifying the sensitivity of tropical cyclone structure to momentum flux in CAM6", NCAR AMWG Winter Meeting, oral, 02/2021
"Understanding how GCM momentum flux parameterization impacts simulated boundary layers in tropical cyclones", AGU Fall Meeting, poster, 12/2020
"Skillful all-season S2S prediction of U.S. precipitation using the MJO and QBO", AMS Annual Meeting, oral, 01/2020
"Evaluation of atmospheric river forecasts along the West Coast of North America at varying leads", CW3E Annual Meeting, oral, 04/2018
"An assessment of numerical weather prediction models in forecasting atmospheric rivers", AMS Annual Meeting, oral, 01/2018
"An evaluation of numerical weather prediction models in forecasting atmospheric rivers", AMS Student Conference, poster, 01/2018
"The climatology and impacts of atmospheric rivers near the coast of southern Alaska", AGU Fall Meeting, poster, 12/2015